Analyzing Jimmy Garoppolo’s next team odds

Analyzing Jimmy Garoppolo’s next team odds

Jimmy Garoppolo is still in San Francisco.

Jimmy Garoppolo is still in San Francisco.
Photo: AP

Most people thought Jimmy Garoppolo would be traded a long time ago. Still, with barely more than a month until the start of the NFL regular season, Garoppolo is still a 49er. At this point, it would be easy to assume that Garoppolo will remain on the team for at least a few more weeks at season. Some sportsbooks disagree with that narrative.

49ers have the fourth best odds to take Garoppolo? Huh? I mean, I guess this is trying to decide where he’ll be Week 1, and if that’s the case, I’d put a bunch of money on San Fran. The rumor mill isn’t exactly swirling around Garoppolo, and if a team really wanted the two-time Super Bowl champion (as a backup), a deal would probably already have been reached, right?

What do all other teams look like? The Browns as favorites makes sense. The NFL doesn’t want Deeshaun Watson to play this season, so the Browns’ acquisition of Garoppolo will be a safety valve for the team. Considering Cleveland even made sure that they wouldn’t have spent much money on Watson in 2022 for fear of him being suspended, a serviceable quarterback like Garoppolo with a hefty price tag would probably work.

The giants also make sense. In fact, I’m shocked they haven’t been rumored more to be involved in the Garoppolo market. That being said, the fact that the interest just hasn’t shown to be there makes me think there is no chance of the team moving on from Daniel Jones this season. While Garoppolo may be a better quarterback than Jones, Jones is cheaper and won’t cost the team any resources. Regardless of whether or not the Giants have Jones or Garoppolo at quarterback, they won’t be a serious playoff contender. So why spend resources keeping your team in roughly the same situation? Just draft or sign a quarterback next year.

The Texans make absolutely no sense. Basically, everything I said about the Giants can also be said about the Texans, except that Texans’ quarterback Davis Mills showed some potential last year. Unlike Jones, Mills might actually be good enough to start for an NFL franchise. He was arguably the most effective rookie quarterback last year, and at his third-round price tag on his rookie deal, the Texans are more than comfortable handing Mills the reins in 2022. They’re in a rebuild. Garoppolo won’t draw them out, and Mills might even be a better option than Garoppolo. Jimmy G is not headed to Texas.

Seahawks at +1000 makes sense. As desperate as the ‘Hawks are for a quarterback, the 49ers have expressed that the price tag for Seattle would be significantly higher than it would be for a non-division opponent. The Seahawks have too stood strong versus giving the 49ers some resources when forced to keep Garoppolo would put the 49ers in a bad situation. Still, if the 49ers came to the Seahawks with a good deal, the ‘Hawks would be inclined to take it. It would be at a much lower price than the Niners could get elsewhere, so I actually think Seattle’s odds here are reasonable.

One team I’m surprised isn’t here at all is Pittsburgh Steelers. I have long believed that the Steelers would be a perfect fit for Garoppolo. Mike Tomlin has never relied on quarterback mobility to extend plays, plus Diontae Johnson, Chase Claypool, George Pickens and Pat Freiermuth would provide similar tools to what Garoppolo was used to in San Francisco. Combined with that Mitch Trubisky has looked worse in camp than an undercooked roast beef sandwich from Arby’s after a week in the sun, Garoppolo makes sense. The Steelers have playoff aspirations in 2022, and Garoppolo would be a definite upgrade in their quarterback room. I know the rumors haven’t been there, but The Steelers make too much sense from a football standpoint to get them completely away from this graphic.

Still, as I said earlier, Garoppolo remaining on the 49ers’ roster through Week 1 is the best bet for my money. Teams seem concerned about his shoulder and reliance on Kyle Shanahan’s system, and the 49ers haven’t received an offer they believe matches the value Garoppolo brings. With Garoppolo cleared to practicethe Niners need to start letting him work out for opposing teams, because until they see his progress up close, the deal the Niners want for their quarterback won’t be done.

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